Changchun Yatai vs Chengdu Blades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 2
CHA
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ADE
0 - 0
CHA
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
BIN
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
SHE
1 - 4
CHA
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CHA
4 - 0
WUH
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chengdu Blades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
LIA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 0
JIA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BIT
1 - 1
CHE
20%
26%
53%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
4 - 2
KAN
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
YAN
1 - 2
CHE
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |