Changchun Yatai vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEI
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
GUI
4 - 3
CHA
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
BIN
0 - 5
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 2
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
WUH
0 - 3
CHA
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2008 |
ADE
1 - 0
POH
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
ADE
4 - 1
BIN
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
BIN
1 - 2
ADE
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ADE
0 - 0
CHA
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
POH
0 - 2
ADE
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |