Niort vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 0
STR
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 1
AUX
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
NIO
1 - 0
ASS
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
STL
1 - 1
NIO
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1999 |
VAL
2 - 0
ESW
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 0
TFC
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
VAL
2 - 0
GUI
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
SED
3 - 1
VAL
66%
20%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |