Niort vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
NIO
1 - 2
CAS
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
NIO
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
NIO
1 - 1
LUS
40%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
NIO
1 - 0
FCL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
FCG
0 - 0
NIO
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2008 |
STR
1 - 0
USB
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
USB
3 - 3
TOU
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 2
USB
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
USB
2 - 3
ANG
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 0
USB
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |