Niort vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
LMU
0 - 0
NIO
44%
29%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NIO
4 - 1
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
NIO
1 - 1
CHA
47%
28%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 3
NIO
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
NIO
1 - 1
FCM
38%
30%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
TFC
0 - 1
ASB
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
TFC
3 - 1
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
TFC
3 - 1
ASS
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
STL
2 - 1
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |