Niort vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
SOC
1 - 1
NIO
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
STL
0 - 0
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
LEN
1 - 0
NIO
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
NIO
0 - 0
CAE
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
ESW
2 - 1
NIO
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
SPO
1 - 1
STL
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
SPO
2 - 0
ASN
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESW
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
AMI
1 - 2
SPO
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |