Niort vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
NIO
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 3
FCG
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
NIO
2 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 1
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
IST
2 - 2
NIO
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
IST
0 - 2
ASS
36%
28%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 1
BRC
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 0
STL
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
ASS
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |