Niort vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 3
NIO
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
NIO
3 - 1
CLE
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIO
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 1
SED
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
4 - 2
NIO
57%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FCR
1 - 3
IST
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ANG
0 - 1
FCR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
FCR
0 - 2
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
STL
0 - 0
FCR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
FCR
0 - 1
TRO
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |