Niort vs Orléans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
CAE
4 - 3
NIO
52%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
4 - 4
PFC
41%
30%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
0 - 1
LHA
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 2
PIE
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 2
ROD
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
CLE
3 - 1
ORL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
ORL
2 - 0
GUI
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
ORL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
ORL
2 - 1
AUX
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |