Niort vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
IST
1 - 1
NIO
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 1
STL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
LHA
2 - 0
NIO
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
ASN
3 - 1
NIO
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 1
FCG
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
NIC
0 - 1
ASB
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NÎM
0 - 3
NIC
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
NIC
2 - 1
STR
24%
28%
49%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
TRO
0 - 0
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
IST
0 - 1
NIC
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |