Niort vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
CAE
0 - 1
NIO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
NIO
2 - 2
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LUS
0 - 0
NIO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NIO
0 - 1
ASB
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ESW
1 - 1
NIO
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
IST
2 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 2
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
REI
1 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ASN
3 - 2
TFC
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |