Niort vs Luzenac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LUS
4 - 2
NIO
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
NIO
2 - 0
UJA
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
NIO
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
NIO
0 - 3
FRE
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ASB
4 - 2
NIO
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luzenac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GUI
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 0
LUZ
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 1
STR
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 1
LUZ
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 2
FCR
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |