Niort vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TFC
4 - 1
NIO
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
NIO
0 - 0
REI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
IST
1 - 3
NIO
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
AMI
1 - 0
NIO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
NIO
1 - 0
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 1
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
LMU
0 - 1
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
NAN
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
IST
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |