Niort vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
NIO
2 - 2
STR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 1
NIO
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
NIO
2 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2006 |
NIO
2 - 0
PAU
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
MET
1 - 0
FCL
65%
23%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 4
BAS
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 2
FCL
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
FCL
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 1
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |