Niort vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 1
NIO
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
NIO
1 - 0
RED
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
FCM
0 - 2
NIO
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
NIO
0 - 1
STA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
AMI
2 - 1
NIO
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
LEN
0 - 4
NAN
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
ASN
1 - 1
LEN
25%
28%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
LEN
1 - 2
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
LEN
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
LEN
3 - 4
GIR
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |