Niort vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 1
NIO
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
NIO
2 - 2
AUX
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIO
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
NIO
0 - 1
GRE
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
ORL
0 - 1
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
4 - 1
ROD
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
GUI
3 - 0
LMU
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
SOC
3 - 1
GUI
23%
26%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
ASN
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 1
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |