Niort vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
STL
1 - 0
NIO
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
NIO
1 - 0
PER
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
DUN
0 - 0
NIO
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
NIO
2 - 2
RED
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
AMI
0 - 0
NIO
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1994 |
GUI
1 - 1
MAR
20%
23%
56%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
OLY
1 - 1
GUI
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
GUI
2 - 0
SED
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
FCG
2 - 0
GUI
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
GUI
1 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |