Niort vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VAN
1 - 0
NIO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
NIO
1 - 0
LPS
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 2
NIO
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
NIO
4 - 0
LUZ
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
COL
2 - 2
NIO
41%
29%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 2
SPI
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 0
FRE
39%
26%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 2
FRE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
NÎM
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |