Niort vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GAP
1 - 1
NIO
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NIO
0 - 0
PFC
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
COL
0 - 3
NIO
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NIO
2 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 0
NIO
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 2
GUI
20%
28%
51%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 1
FCG
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 1
STR
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAY
0 - 0
FCG
45%
29%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
FCG
0 - 0
FCR
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |