Niort vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
ESW
0 - 0
NIO
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 0
SOC
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIO
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 1
LHA
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
CAN
6 - 4
NIO
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
FCG
1 - 1
CAE
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
NÎM
1 - 1
FCG
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
FCG
2 - 0
LUS
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
ASB
0 - 0
FCG
32%
27%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
FCG
1 - 2
NIC
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |