Niort vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
FCM
0 - 1
NIO
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
NIO
2 - 2
SOC
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 3
NIO
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
NIO
2 - 3
RED
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
FCG
1 - 0
NIC
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
FCG
2 - 0
ASN
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
FCM
3 - 0
FCG
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1995 |
FCG
0 - 0
AUX
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
REN
2 - 1
FCG
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |