Niort vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
NIO
1 - 1
CHA
47%
28%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 3
NIO
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
NIO
1 - 1
FCM
38%
30%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
SPO
2 - 2
NIO
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
NIO
0 - 0
FCG
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1996 |
POI
0 - 1
DUN
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1996 |
DUN
1 - 0
FCM
35%
30%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
TFC
4 - 2
DUN
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAE
23%
29%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
DUN
2 - 0
CHA
35%
31%
34%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |