Niort vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1988 |
LEN
3 - 1
NIO
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1988 |
NIO
0 - 0
STL
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1988 |
AUX
1 - 3
NIO
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
NIO
1 - 3
MET
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1988 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIO
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
ASN
0 - 0
CAE
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
CAE
1 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
MON
2 - 0
CAE
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1991 |
CAE
2 - 0
PSG
45%
29%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1991 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |