Niort vs Aviron Bayonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
NIO
3 - 0
BRC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 1
NIO
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
NIO
0 - 2
PFC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 2
NIO
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
NIO
3 - 1
FCM
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 1
SPI
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 1
BAY
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 0
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
BAY
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 1
NÎM
24%
29%
47%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |