Chambly vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
14º
3º
21
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 60 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 48 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chambly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 4
CHA
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
BOB
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FEI
2 - 2
CHA
25%
26%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VLN
0 - 1
SPI
6%
12%
82%
|
54 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 1
FUR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
USB
0 - 4
SPI
7%
12%
81%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 2
SPI
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 4
BIE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |