Chamalières vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
13º
12º
11
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamalières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
FRE
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
JUR
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AND
1 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
SPO
22%
26%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 2
OLY
20%
24%
57%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 2
TOU
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 1
AND
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
THO
4 - 1
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |