SC Cham vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LOC
2 - 0
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
DEL
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
SCH
3 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 4
SER
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 2
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
KRI
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
LUG
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 3
WIN
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
LAC
1 - 1
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 4
BEL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |