SC Cham vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 3
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DEL
2 - 3
CHA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
KRI
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 4
ETO
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
SCH
27%
21%
52%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAV
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BUL
3 - 2
LUG
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
RAP
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
LUG
52%
22%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |