Challans vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESO
0 - 4
CHA
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
LAV
48%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
CHA
21%
24%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEM
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
0 - 0
CHA
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 3
USS
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FON
1 - 1
SPG
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 1
SPG
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 2
LAV
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPG
22%
20%
57%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |