Challans vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
6º
5º
6
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FON
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USS
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAV
3 - 2
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPG
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
FON
50%
27%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FON
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SNA
1 - 3
FON
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FON
0 - 0
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
FON
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |