Challans vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
16
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LEM
2 - 2
CHA
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 1
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ACP
0 - 4
CHA
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
SAB
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESO
0 - 0
CHA
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
USS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
CHA
49%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
LRO
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
LAV
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
FON
24%
24%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |