Challans vs Panazol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
6º
5º
7
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 3
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASC
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
FON
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FON
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Panazol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
FON
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAN
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
ESO
38%
22%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
STA
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 1
PAN
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |