Chalkis vs Naoussa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalkis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 3
CHA
65%
22%
13%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LAM
3 - 0
CHA
68%
19%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
ANA
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
KYM
1 - 0
CHA
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
PYR
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | -2 |
Matches
Naoussa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
NAO
0 - 2
LAM
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 2
NAO
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
NAO
0 - 2
KYM
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PYR
0 - 3
NAO
8%
16%
77%
|
41 | 6 | 35 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAO
2 - 1
DOM
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |