Chalatenango vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
CHA
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
CDP
29%
29%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 1
CHA
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 4
MET
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CDP
2 - 2
ALI
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
4 - 1
MUN
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAS
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FIR
1 - 2
ALI
20%
22%
59%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |