Chalatenango vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
UES
3 - 3
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
SFC
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MET
0 - 2
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 4
CDD
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
2 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 2
PAS
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
FIR
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |