Chaco Petrolero vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaco Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
CHA
0 - 1
NAC
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 83 | 72 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
CHA
1 - 2
STR
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 72 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
STR
1 - 2
PEÑ
45%
25%
29%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1971 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
EST
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1970 |
EST
1 - 0
PEÑ
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
UCH
71%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |