Chaco Petrolero vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaco Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
CHA
1 - 2
BSC
24%
22%
55%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
CHA
1 - 0
OPE
23%
21%
57%
|
13 | 71 | 58 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
OPE
5 - 0
CHA
85%
10%
6%
|
13 | 71 | 58 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
STR
1 - 3
CHA
89%
7%
4%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
5%
|
12 | 83 | 71 | -1 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
OPE
4 - 2
AME
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
AME
0 - 0
BSC
41%
22%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
BSC
2 - 1
AME
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
AME
1 - 3
LIG
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
3 - 0
AME
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |