Chaco For Ever vs Sportivo Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaco For Ever
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
CFE
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
CFE
2 - 1
SOL
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 2
CFE
69%
21%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CFE
0 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 0
CFE
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
SPA
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAF
22%
29%
49%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CFE
0 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 2
SPA
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |