Chaco For Ever vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaco For Ever
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
CFE
62%
25%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CFE
1 - 0
SUA
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
AGR
0 - 0
CFE
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CFE
1 - 2
INS
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
CFE
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 0
SMA
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 2
DEF
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
EST
37%
31%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 1
DEF
21%
30%
49%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
RAF
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |