Chacaritas vs Independiente Juniors analysis

Chacaritas Independiente Juniors
66 ELO 73
2.4% Tilt -10.1%
42077º General ELO ranking 39742º
75º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
38%
Chacaritas
28.1%
Draw
33.9%
Independiente Juniors

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
Chacaritas
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.9%
Win probability
Independiente Juniors
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chacaritas
-37%
-1%
Independiente Juniors

Points and table prediction

Chacaritas
Their league position
Independiente Juniors
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
10º
57
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vinotinto Ecuador
69
69
100%
Manta
60
60
100%
Guayaquil City
59
59
100%
Independiente Juniors
57
57
100%
9 de Octubre
47
47
100%
Gualaceo
47
47
100%
San Antonio
44
44
100%
Leones
37
37
100%
Vargas Torres
33
33
100%
Chacaritas
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chacaritas
Independiente Juniors
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Chacaritas
Independiente Juniors
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chacaritas
Chacaritas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2024
CHA
Chacaritas
0 - 0
San Antonio
ESA
65%
21%
14%
67 50 17 0
03 Apr. 2024
CUN
Vinotinto Ecuador
1 - 2
Chacaritas
CHA
54%
25%
21%
66 68 2 +1
29 Mar. 2024
CHA
Chacaritas
1 - 0
Manta
MAN
36%
28%
36%
65 72 7 +1
20 Mar. 2024
CSV
Vargas Torres
1 - 1
Chacaritas
CHA
34%
30%
36%
65 60 5 0
15 Mar. 2024
CHA
Chacaritas
2 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
35%
28%
38%
64 70 6 +1

Matches

Independiente Juniors
Independiente Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2024
INJ
Independiente Juniors
1 - 0
Guayaquil City
RIV
48%
26%
26%
71 70 1 0
03 Apr. 2024
ESA
San Antonio
0 - 0
Independiente Juniors
INJ
20%
28%
53%
71 49 22 0
28 Mar. 2024
INJ
Independiente Juniors
3 - 2
Gualaceo
GUA
51%
26%
23%
71 68 3 0
19 Mar. 2024
MAN
Manta
1 - 0
Independiente Juniors
INJ
42%
28%
30%
71 71 0 0
13 Mar. 2024
INJ
Independiente Juniors
1 - 1
Vargas Torres
CSV
58%
24%
18%
71 60 11 0