Chacaritas vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
10º
10º
69
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
4 - 2
CHA
40%
30%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIV
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
CHA
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
CUN
5 - 2
OCT
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 2
CUN
20%
28%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 5
CUN
22%
30%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CUN
0 - 1
RIV
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CUN
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |