Chacaritas vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
10º
10º
69
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
CHA
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CSV
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
CUN
0 - 0
ESA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
CUN
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 0
CUN
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |