Chacaritas vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
10º
10º
28
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 0
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
5 - 0
CHA
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OCT
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 3
CUN
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
LFC
68%
22%
10%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RIA
0 - 2
LFC
18%
20%
62%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
LFC
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |