Chacaritas vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
PQU
0 - 0
CHA
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
AME
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
IMB
0 - 2
CHA
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
INJ
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
IMB
2 - 1
NAC
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BON
1 - 1
NAC
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
PQU
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |