Chacaritas vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
8º
43
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
CHA
27%
29%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
INJ
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 0
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
OCT
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
IMB
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
INJ
4 - 1
AME
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAC
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 1
AME
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
AME
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |