Chacarita Juniors vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
INS
2 - 3
CHA
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
DAL
0 - 0
CHA
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 3
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 2
CHA
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 1
INS
29%
28%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ARG
3 - 1
SMA
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
SMA
73%
19%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
DHA
2 - 1
SMA
54%
27%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
3 - 0
GIM
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |