Chacarita Juniors vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATL
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
CHA
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
DYJ
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
CHA
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
RIV
26%
29%
45%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLO
50%
28%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SLO
0 - 2
BOC
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARG
0 - 1
SLO
45%
29%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SLO
1 - 1
EST
38%
30%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 1
SLO
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |