Chacarita Juniors vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
TAL
2 - 2
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 3
LAN
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
RAC
2 - 1
CHA
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 2
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 1
BOC
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
COL
1 - 0
BOC
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BOC
3 - 1
TAL
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 3
BOC
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
BOC
3 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |