Chacarita Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOC
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
TAL
2 - 2
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 3
LAN
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
RAC
2 - 1
CHA
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 1
BOC
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 0
RAF
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RAF
3 - 1
CEN
24%
24%
53%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GLP
3 - 4
RAF
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 0
SLO
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |