Chacarita Juniors vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
35.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
QUI
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
AGR
1 - 0
CHA
51%
28%
22%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAI
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 0
CHA
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 0
ALV
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 0
ALV
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
QUI
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |